Trippi's Warning for the GOP
By Micah L. Sifry, 07/25/2007 - 12:03pm

One less-remarked result of Monday night's CNN/YouTube debate: Republicans should be very, very afraid of their own YouTube moment, when they debate in St. Petersburg, FL in September. The contrast between the two cultures: the youthful, freewheeling, authentic YouTubers and the stiff, soundbite-practiced world of national politics will be on even greater display there, than it was at the Citadel in South Carolina.

John Edwards adviser Joe Trippi makes this point in his candid interview with GOP web consultant (and techPresident blogger) David All. "Do the Republican candidates know what YouTube is?" He also admits that the Edwards campaign, with its 100,000+ donors, is "desperately" trying to figure out how to catch up to the Obama campaign, with its 258,000+ donors, and then pivots to make a very cogent point about how all of this will impact the general election.

Democrats are competing amongst themselves now to get an advantage in online support, Trippi says, creating "a gigantic community that the Democratic nominee is going to inherit." He adds, "Kerry sucked at the internet, but he was still the beneficiary of what Howard Dean, Wesley Clark and others built...It's not just the list size, but the experience...in learning what catches and what doesn't."

This is one more reason why our charts showing the Democratic field with far more supporters than the Republicans on MySpace, Facebook and elsewhere in the blogosphere are so telling about what's ahead in 2008. [GOP consultant and techPresident blogger Patrick Ruffini agrees "100%" with Trippi's assessment on his blog.]

I wish I shared his optimism

My feeling is that - if us lefty internet organizer types are hugely and uproariously successful over the next year or so - at most something like a quarter or maybe a third of the electorate is going to be directly impacted by the independent internet media, except maybe for the occasional wild viral hit. There's still a LOT of voters out there watching Fox, and between known site traffic numbers and the last Pew, we know that a lot of folks getting news online are getting it from MSM sites.

Sure, the 'sphere is having a somewhat increasing role in shaping how the MSM covers stuff - and arguably in exposing hilariously brash acts of hypocrisy like O'Reilly's latest stunts - but we've still got a long way to go from where I'm sitting.

Trippi is still ahead of America

Someday, Joe Trippi will be right. But, as history shows, it's rarely during the campaign he's working on.

The Internet enabled Howard Dean to be a viable candidate. It did not make him a winner. And I contend that the reason it enabled his high profile and fundraising totals was not because of the tool, but the campaign and candidate. When I first went to the Dean campaign site, I was amazed at what I read there. There was no political parsing. I didn't see calculation and hype. I saw open, honest opinions and I was hooked. So that was the first tool I saw the campaign use. But it was the message that did it, not the tool. When I first saw Dean, he said "only you have the power..." Then campaign then provided the tools and the structure to back that up. So the tools proved the commitment. But they were not the winning message, just the medium.

As the earlier comment points out, blogs are impacting the MSM. But their media reach is still a fraction of Faux Noise. With that big an echo chamber, even the lack of message can be overcome. That's why the Republicans are not worried.



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