My suspicion would be that anyone who spends a significant amount of time on youtube watches some of the videos from multiple candidates, even if they are only subscribed to one.
By Micah L. Sifry, 08/16/2007 - 10:36pm
Todd Ziegler of the Bivings Group, who I greatly respect, recently dinged us (gently) with a post called "The Danger of Using YouTube Views as a Metric." He argued that our daily tracking of how many times each candidate's videos are viewed on YouTube was "deceptive" due to the "vastly different ways candidates are using YouTube." And he has a point. John Edwards' numbers are somewhat higher than the other leading Democratic candidates because his campaign is using YouTube as the player for videos on his own site, while Obama uses Brightcove and Clinton uses an in-house tool.
But we've never said anywhere that counting views on YouTube is somehow equal to counting every video view a candidate receives on every platform possible. (Though we can clearly start picking up the numbers of viewers the candidates may be getting on other widely used channels like Brightcove, and will report on that soon.) What we have said is since online video is a pull, not a push, medium, online video stats are clearly a sign of interest in a candidate, and probably a much stronger sign of moving an impactful message than, say, TV advertising points.
I also think it still makes sense to keep track of the viewership numbers that YouTube makes available for each candidate's videos, even if this means we are inevitably undercounting, in some cases, at least, total viewership. Like it or not, YouTube is by far the leading hub for online video sharing and viewing, so if a candidate is doing well there, that's an important metric.
Speaking of which, I'd love some input on the following question: Is there a relationship between YouTube views and YouTube subscriptions? People who subscribe to a channel on YouTube get alerted by email whenever the publisher uploads a new video, so this is actually an important number to follow. If you look at our old YouTube charts (ignore the total channel view number, which we don't trust), and instead focus on the total subscribers, you'll discover that Ron Paul is way ahead of the other candidates with more than 25,500 subscribers. Barack Obama, by comparison, has just over 10,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel. John Edwards, who has the third highest total number of YouTube views (2.1 million, compared to Paul's 3.2 million and Obama's 2.9 million) has just 3,700 subscribers. Clinton, who has 1.9 million total YouTube views, has nearly 5,300 subscribers. Clearly, a lot of people are interested in Ron Paul, and as the mainstream media isn't satisfying their thirst for information for him, they're soaking up information they can get directly off the web. But is there a relationship between # of subscribers and viewership?

What are we to make of the fact that for every one of Paul's subscribers, he's gotten 125 views on average, while Obams's gotten 284 views, Clinton has gotten 365, and Edwards has gotten 568 views? I'm not saying that each YouTube subscriber watches X number of views; rather that because each time a video is published on YouTube, subscribers to that channel get an email alert and you undoubtedly see a ripple effect. But I'm not sure what the ratio means, if anything. Any ideas?
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youtube views
Paul numbers make sense - fanatically watched by a small number of people but limited appeal to the greater world. I think Edwards' numbers can't really be compared to the others since his overall view count is inflated because YouTube is his primary player. Edwards' has also promoted his videos more heavily via email than Clinton or Obama (at least that is my perception). I also think Hillary and Edwards' ratios are higher because they have had more "blockbuster" videos (Hair, pick a song contest, Coulter, etc.) than Obama that end up reaching a wider audience.
ratio
I think it just means that the supporters of candidates other than Ron Paul don't see loyalty to his channel as a way of showing support. Ron Paul's supporters are doing everything they can to support him, including signing up for everything they possibly can and going to every event, etc. RP's videos are regularly the most commented, favorited and rated of the political candidates. See here:
http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/014724.html
Another factor is that if a good or important Clinton or Obama video comes out, you'd more than likely hear about it in the media, which is not the case with Ron Paul. His supporters are more likely to subscribe to his channel so as not to miss anything.
?
..fanatically watched by a small number of people but limited appeal to the greater world.
Could you explain your reasoning behind that conclusion? I'm curious because according to TubeMogul, this video got 2,362 views yesterday for a full 46% of @GoogleTalk total video views yesterday. This video isn't even on Ron Paul's channel. How do you account for that?
Ron Paul's official channel got 22,484 views yesterday. (For comparison, Barack Obama's channel got 12,403 views yesterday.) So, according to your reasoning a small fanatical bunch of supporters viewed over 25,000 videos of Ron Paul yesterday and that's not counting the unofficial videos. For example, this publisher - aravoth - has 7 videos tracked by TubeMogul, all about Ron Paul. Yesterday, his videos received 10,238 views and has a total viewership of 673,244. So make that 35,000 Ron Paul video views yesterday.
Do you really think a small band of fanatics is responsible for that?
Ron Paul
Well said Tex, I get really sick of the small but fanatical group of people who use every chance they get to take a shot at Dr. Paul, I have personally converted 17 people to vote for Dr. Paul just by simply asking them to google Ron Paul, or watch one of his youtube videos, the truth of the matter is the other candidates are a joke compared to Dr.Paul and most people need only to watch one or two videos to be convinced of that.
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